Crypto is Macro Now

Crypto is Macro Now

What prediction markets and crypto have in common

Plus: US macro, Hobson’s Choice and more

Noelle Acheson's avatar
Noelle Acheson
May 29, 2026
∙ Paid

“Time flies like an arrow. Fruit flies like a banana.” – Groucho Marx ||

Hi all, and happy Friday! I hope you’ve got some good things planned for the last weekend of May – I plan to enjoy the early summer vibes, before the sweltering Madrid heat descends.


PUBLISHED IN PARTNERSHIP WITH: ✨ ALLIUM ✨

Tokenized equities hit ~$1B in supply since launching in mid 2025. The market structure is more interesting than the milestone.

Allium’s latest research covers where liquidity actually lives, how tokenized prices compare to traditional equities, overnight price discovery, and why ~90% of volume is outside the US.

For fintech platforms, exchanges, institutional investors, and builders evaluating the tokenized equities opportunity.

→ Read the report: https://www.allium.so/reports/allium-tokenized-equities-report-q1-2026


IN THIS NEWSLETTER

  • What prediction markets and crypto have in common

  • Macro: US inflation and GDP

  • Term of the day: Hobson’s Choice

Crypto is Macro Now offers ~daily commentary and updates on the overlap between the crypto and macro landscapes. Plus links and more.

If you’re a premium subscriber, thank you so much!! ❤

If you’re not, you could be getting a lot more out of these newsletters! And supporting my work. Which would be cool.

WHAT I’M WATCHING:

What prediction markets and crypto have in common

Regular readers will have noticed that I hardly ever talk about prediction markets, other than to share the occasional chart. In fact, I don’t think I’ve ever written about them as a concept, and given the firehose of headlines, it’s time to 1) explain why and 2) change that.

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